Missiles at 4:38 a.m., Politics by Noon

Israeli sources lower expectations of regime change in Iran as Netanyahu retreats from the draft-exemption fight — and volatile oil markets are shaping the war’s timeline

Three quick notes on the state of the war.

1. Loweing expectations

The last night in Israel was difficult. There were at least four missile sirens during the night and in the early morning hours, the last one at 04:38 a.m. As a result, most Israelis were unable to sleep for more than about three consecutive hours. The missiles launched from Iran (less tha…